Constant nail/screw in tire

[optronix]

Basically in the same environment, two cars driving the same roads, the one with a wider tire might have a 50% increase in risk for a 5% width increase, again I don't know the math, these are made up numbers but that's my point #2.

To your "something else is going on", agreed, that falls under my "More Assholes" category. Basically inconsiderate and stupid people make it so that there are more nails and debris on the road in the first place, upping everyone's chance, my point #1.

Combine those 2 effects and i'd say you got most of the reasoning covered.

For whatever reason I want to keep clarifying even though we are in 100% agreement and this whole topic is silly.

But it's the environment piece I'm betting on. Your asshole theory is interesting and could easily fall under the environment category. Asshole contractor living on the road leading out of a neighborhood spilling nails all over the road multiple times a month could easily contribute to "constant nail in tire" outcomes. But so could just a higher likelihood of nails to be in the environment, like driving past a new strip mall every day, or renovations being done in the same building/office park OP works in. Asshole negligence would still factor in but also just reasonable expectations for nails to be exposed to road surfaces when they otherwise wouldn't be.

Your argument for tire width is legit but minimally contributing IMHO. It's a fair assessment for car A with 145s vs car B with 265s, car B has a higher likelihood of picking up a nail, no doubt. But neither car is at high risk at all if they're in a typical environment that doesn't have a sky-high risk factor of having more nails laying around.

This is dumb but engaging for some reason lol. Reminds me once of the time myself and a co-worker talked through our entire lunch break about how much blood a tick with a 50' diameter would have to consume, and what types of prey would it have to target. Riveting- but utterly pointless stuff.

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[madchiller]

sounds more like a disgruntled neighbor or ex.

 

[STi from DSM]

Not that I don't agree with @optronix for most of the argued points. Specifically this car was the one that got the flat. Same routes, no construction, no nothing out of the ordinary. I have had several cars since 2018 and none have ever gotten a flat tire. Does that mean anything? Not necessarily. It means I was in the correct place at the correct time to drive over something that punctured my tire. Shit happens. I had MP4S tires on my M850i and never got a flat in those. Once again conjecture. Right place right time is what it equates to most of the time.
Now if you are driving through an active construction zone.... That obviously increases odds quite a bit.

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